US Life Actuarial Outlook for 2026
Taylor Dever | Managing Director, USA at Acumen Group
Regulatory Changes & Offshore Reinsurance
- Cayman’s NAIC equivalency remains a strategic priority as it looks to become a jurisdiction of choice for US reinsurance. While many start-ups consider Cayman in early planning conversations, Bermuda continues to be the primary option for newly established offshore entities.
- Through AG-55 (effective year-end 2025 with reporting due 4/1/2026), US regulators are heightening scrutiny of cross-border reinsurance, especially around asset quality and capital efficiency.
- VM-22 will continue to be a focus in 2026, and much still remains up in the air in terms of final impact on the industry and associated workload.
- Expect continued growth in reinsurance transactions and the creation of affiliates/sidecars as US carriers face increased capital pressure and competition.
Workforce & Talent Market Shifts
- Return-to-office momentum continues for actuarial and finance functions. Most carriers have settled around a hybrid schedule (2-3 days per week in office), though some are pushing toward 4-5 days.
- With growing demand for annuity products, related talent shortages and rising compensation requirements continue in annuity pricing/product development and ALM/asset modeling roles.
- Increased reliance on global talent hubs (South Africa, India, Latin America) for lower-cost reporting, modeling, and operations support.
- More actuaries are shifting toward strategic, cross-functional roles focused on product strategy, data analytics/automation, and investment management.
Private Equity & Capital Strategy
- PE-backed platforms continue to play a major role in annuity and reinsurance growth, while also increasing regulator and stakeholder focus on asset risk, liquidity, and long-term policyholder protection.
- PE ownership is accelerating innovation in ALM, alternative asset allocation, and capital optimization.
- Expect continued use of sidecars and co-investment structures in 2026.
AI & Automation in Actuarial Work
- AI adoption is becoming clearer in terms of practical applications, though organizations are taking a conservative approach.
- Core impact areas include valuation and reporting, model conversion/migration, and scenario/stress testing.
Product Innovation & Retirement Income Demand
- The need for retirement income is driving growth in annuity products, primarily FIAs and RILAs.
- Increased focus on developing product features tied to market conditions to protect against volatility.
- Competitive pressure is rising around areas outside core product features, including advisor tools, personalized illustrations, and distribution strategy.